The Fastest Jobs Rebound in History
February 4, 2022
What government and the Fed can do next.
The Roosevelt Rundown features our top stories of the week.
How to Build on a Record Jobs Year
We’re experiencing “the fastest employment rebound in modern history,” Roosevelt President and CEO Felicia Wong wrote this week.
And that’s no accident. It’s a byproduct of major government investments and relief efforts—most significantly, the American Rescue Plan, as Roosevelt’s Mike Konczal notes.
And it’s a result of a revolution in thinking at the Federal Reserve, which has realized how far from full employment we were in the past.
More work remains. “Wage gains attracted many back into the labor force, but 1.8 million were prevented from looking for work due to the pandemic,” Roosevelt’s Alí Bustamante tweeted today.
“Achieving full employment means eliminating the constraints keeping millions of Americans from the work they want.”
It also means building on the Fed’s success to ensure Black workers aren’t excluded from this labor market expansion.
As Wong wrote in advance of this week’s Fed confirmation hearing, Biden’s nominees are the right ones for the moment.
Introducing the Labor Leverage Ratio
Today’s impressive job numbers highlight just how remarkable this recovery has been.
And on the blog, Roosevelt’s Aaron Sojourner and Emily DiVito explore another promising metric: the Labor Leverage Ratio (LLR)—a term coined by Sojourner—which compares the number of worker-initiated quits to employer-initiated discharges (including firings or permanent layoffs).
“Good news for both individual workers and the economy as a whole,” Sojourner and DiVito write. “The LLR is at an all-time high—with about three workers quitting for every one being discharged.” This means that more people are going back to work, with greater leverage to demand better pay and working conditions.
“After decades of weakening labor bargaining power and eroding labor standards, better jobs and increased worker power are set to drive a more equitable pandemic recovery and prosperity in the years ahead.”
For an Equitable Recovery, Cancel Student Debt
Student debt cancellation would promote an equitable recovery—without increasing inflation—Alí Bustamante explains in a new analysis.
“Student debt cancellation will allow families to keep more of their hard-earned dollars during the ongoing pandemic,” he writes. And it “would complement the administration’s commitment to full employment and income growth by supporting the families who most need it.”
What We’re Reading
Wealth Inequality Is the Highest Since World War II – New York Times
How We Broke the Supply Chain – The American Prospect
Lack of Transparency in Salary Could Be Driving Income Disparity [feat. Roosevelt’s Alí Bustamante] – The Grio
Fed Nominees Face Fierce GOP Attack over Views, Credentials [feat. Roosevelt’s Felicia Wong] [paywall] – Bloomberg